It's caucus night tonight and so far this mostly meaningless yet horribly fun spotlight momentarily gracing Iowa is once again delivering exactly what it promises. I say mostly meaningless because what Iowa does--and it's debatable if this is a good thing--is weed out candidates by sucking up their money and time before the real voting starts. In other words, see you, Bill Richardson and Chris Dodd. This isn't goodbye, Bill, it's just so long until the V.P. talk starts.
The other thing Iowa does is provide another little, politely Midwestern land mine for less polished candidates. Who is going to undergo this election's Howard Dean like flameout? It's not my place to guess, but I'm taking a long look at you, Mike Huckabee. That guy has more than a few of Chekhov's guns on the wall. It's still the first act, but that guy says some really bizarre stuff without provocation. Once the attention really shifts to him, look out. I honestly think he is capable of constructing a sentence that somehow manages to offend, confuse, and frighten every single American.
Meaningless prediction: Obama and Huckabee win, a 2nd place showing for Hillary (which she'll claim as a victory because many now expect her to take 3rd), and a slightly stronger than expected showing for Ron Paul and Joe Biden though nothing truly shocking. Realize, those are pretty much everyone's predictions.
1.03.2008
Exhibit 5.26
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